Saturday 28 November 2009

Careers : SMU Business Advisors Programme

The Business Advisors Programme (BAP) aims to match highly qualified PMETs (Professionals, Managers, Executives and Technicians) (known as "Business Advisors" under the BAP) to Small and Medium-Sized Enterprises (SMEs) with the objective of growing the SMEs' business and services and to help PMETs better contextualize their expertise while working with the SMEs. The selection and matching process will be handled by UOB-SMU Entrepreneurship Alliance Centre*.The selected PMETs will attend a 2-day BAP Orientation by SMU plus a 2-day Basic Consulting Skills by IMC and will be attached to the sponsoring SMEs to work on specific projects/assignments.


http://www.smu.edu.sg/centres/usea/business_advisors_programme.asp

7 Ways To Position Yourself For Recovery

I thought this might interest some folks.

http://investopedia.com/slide-show/position-recovery/?partner=basics11

Friday 27 November 2009

SGX : I will be watching the banks next week

With the big sell down in Europe and the Asian bourses today due to the Dubai financial situation, I will be looking at the Banks in Singapore correcting in the coming week.


Trying to Make Sense of U.S. Employment Numbers

While the unemplyment numbers released at the beginning of Nov indeed reflect the figures to be 10.2%.
The initial weekly figures released two days ago indicate the. number of additional unemployed has slowed significantly.



Tuesday 24 November 2009

Semiconductor Book-to-Bill : 4th Month above 1


For the 4th month running Book-to-Bill is above 1.

October coming in at 1.1

Sunday 22 November 2009

25 Years of Tech Blunders - Slideshows - CNBC.com

I like this slideshow for a good lesson learnt session.

25 Years of Tech Blunders - Slideshows - CNBC.com

Friday 20 November 2009

U.S. Real Unemployment at 17%?

Just to share a video that I found interesting from:

CNN Money

Real unemployment really bad

Wednesday 18 November 2009

Real GDP Growth (YoY)

Linked to the previous posts, I got a comment on what about China since it is not on the list. The below map shows the Real GDP Growth YoY. (The deeper the green, the higher)





 


Tuesday 17 November 2009

Key Economic Data of Bigger Economies

I got interested in the comparison after the APEC meet and trying to correlate the stock markets in the world. Is the STI and Hang Seng Overheating?

Let's start with interest rates, especially after the call from China and Japan yesterday for U.S to raise interest rates


 













Which links to Real GDP Growth YOY.

From the data, it is understandable why Japan is concerned about the U.S interest rate keeping the Yen high against the dollar.

The economic figures link to the jobless data


Which continues to be a concern especially in the U.S., leading to depressed  Consumer Sentiment in the U.S. , the biggest consumer market and lower Inflation data in Europe.


The tight monetary policy in the U.S. also creates concern about deflationary effects.

Need to watch markets to see how these effects kick-in once the economic stimulus packages start to be removed this coming fiscal year.

What is clear, is for my Fixed Deposits, I am looking down under.


1080p HD Is Coming to YouTube

Came across this that might interest some of the guys who read my blog.

"YouTube has announced that support for watching 1080p HD videos in full resolution “is on its way.
Starting next week, YouTube's HD mode will add support for viewing videos in 720p or 1080p, depending on the resolution of the original source"

http://hdtv.biz-news.com/news/en_US/2009/11/13/0009/1080p-hd-is-coming-to-youtube

Monday 16 November 2009

Fertile Ground for Startups

I cmae across this article in Businessweek today.

http://www.businessweek.com/magazine/content/09_47/b4156046735817.htm

Happy reading.

PMI : Manufacturing Recovery on Track


The ISM(Institute of Supply Management) report released indicates positive trends for the manufacturing industry.


The PMI(Purchasing Managers Index) indicates 6 months of continous expansion, ( >41.2%)





Saturday 14 November 2009

Nail-biting Black Friday Again

Despite stock market pushing high in various markets including Europe, this came yesterday.

Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly dropped in November as the loss of jobs threatened to undermine the biggest part of the economy.

The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased to a three-month low of 66 from 70.6 in October.


This is worrying considering that consumer spending makes up 2/3 of the U.S. GDP.






and the Index has been at the lowest since 30 years.




Charts from University of Michigan.

Looks like another nail biting year at watching Black Friday sales results which falls on 27th November this year.

Friday 13 November 2009

Recovery ? BDI Confirmation

To follow on from my previous post

which inidcates that we have hit the bottom in the US and on the mend, with Tech stock starting to fly.
I thought I check the Baltic Dry Indicator which is normally a leading indicator for the state of the world economy, since it measures the demand for shipping for raw materials.

The BDI seems to indicate that we are back to the level of June '09 when economies were re-stocking and our friends in supply chain were starting to expedite supplies.
Looks like we are making our way back to early 2007 levels.
Another confirmation that the economy is on the mend.

SGX : UE - Stock to Watch





UE is below the MA and testing the 1.65 support level.

One year has a high at 2.19.



Fundamentals are sound and could be an interesting buy if it dips further.

Thursday 12 November 2009

SGX: UOL - Earnings Tomorrow!




Market is waiting for results tomorrow. Watch this counter.



SGX : Parkwaylife Reit


The Reit has a buy rating from several analyst. It dropped below the 50D MACD today and I am looking to it testing the $1.10 support level, the RSI dipping below 30% and Stochastic dropping below 20% before coming in on this counter.

SGX : Starhub


After the loss of the EPL rights, Starhub has been down for quite a while. Now with the news of a series of new initatives, it seems to have found renewed vigor.
It has just crossed the 50D MACD and I am looking towards it testing the $2.10 resistance level.

Sector Rotation : Is US market on recovery?

To follow-on my previous post

US Stocks: Sector Watch
Based on the sector rotation model:




I tried to check the various DJ index over the pass 3 months.

Based on the model, we should see financial, utilities lagging the rest of the market and cyclicals, technology, industrials and basic industry start to pull ahead.

With this in mind, I pulled the various indexes for comparison:




It turns out that indeed:
  • Utilities and Finanicals are lagging the pack and
  • Basic materials, Technology and Industrial are ahead.
  • Though, they are not exactly in the same order as the model.
Time to rotate money to the relevant sectors.

9 Green Careers With High Pay

The 9 careers according to the article are :
  1. Environmental Engineer
  2. Physicist
  3. Environmental Scientist
  4. Chemist
  5. Sustainability Director
  6. Agency Director
  7. Energy Technology Program Specialist
  8. Analyst/Financial Specialist
  9. Economist
More details can be found at the below link:http://financialedge.investopedia.com/financial-edge/1109/9-Green-Careers-With-High-Pay-.aspx?partner=ntu11

For those in Singapore, perhaps the expo happening next week would be a good start to figure it out:






http://www.cleanenergyexpoasia.com/

Wednesday 11 November 2009

Is the STI and Hang Seng Overheating?

The chart above shows the STI and Hang Seng outrunning the other markets in the recovery.
Both markets are up by 90% or more since March.
Are we going to see a major correction as in the Shanghai in August?

Saturday 7 November 2009

US Stocks: Sector Watch

Since the US market has cruised through earnings season and has held up, I thought it time to review the sectors before the Santa Claus rally begins.

Below is a quick summary from Market Watch

10 Best Performing Industries
Industry Name
Percent Change (over last 3 months)
DJ US Platinum & Precious Metals In...48.13%
DJ US Full Line Insurance Index26.16%
DJ US Forestry & Paper Index24.72%
DJ US Paper Index24.72%
DJ US Nonferrous Metals Index23.54%
DJ US Coal Index20.57%
DJ US Oil Equipment & Services Inde...19.17%
DJ US Durable Household Products In..19.05%
DJ US Mining Index18.61%
DJ US Oil Equipment, Services & Dis...18.30%

10 Worst Performing Industries
Industry Name
Percent Change (over time selected)
DJ US Tires Index-20.87%
DJ US Mortgage Finance Index-18.62%
DJ US Mobile Telecommunications Ind...-12.66%
DJ US Home Construction Index-11.12%
DJ US Home Improvement Retailers In...-10.22%
DJ U.S. Iron & Steel Index-9.99%
DJ US Heavy Construction Index-6.69%
DJ US Trucking Index-5.64%
DJ US Construction & Materials Inde...-5.39%
DJ US Asset Managers Index-5.11%

No surprise that the commodities are the sectors up and Housing market which started the downturn show the highest losses.

Sunday 1 November 2009

SGX : Property Stock to Watch - UOL



UOL has been going sideways for a while, trading between 3.2 and 3.7 since June

The current market dip might make it attractive to pick-up in anticipation of the 13th Nov Q3 earnings report.

1H 2009 results was 66% up.



Historical financial highlights are shown below for value investors.




2008 Semiconductor Ranking

To follow-on from my previous post
Time to Pick-up Semiconductor Counters

The above are the Top semiconductor firms ranked by revenue for those who would like to dig deeper into individual counters.